How to Trade on Lin-Sanity (Update 1)
Updated to reflect Maxim Group analyst comments on second page.
For investors, the question is how they can tap the buzz of the "Lin-sanity" that's swept across the New York metro area and the basketball world. Increasingly, it looks like the Lin-based Knicks winning streak may come at the perfect time for Madison Square Garden, while providing a dent to Time Warner Cable (TWC) shares.
|Jeremy Lin has led the New York Knicks to five straight victories.|
Lin may make a big impact on MSG and Time Warner Cable shares, even if he doesn't turn out to the all-star caliber NBA'er he's proven to be in his first five Knicks starts. That's because the hype may helps the Knicks further boost season ticket prices after a 49% lift in 2011, while it also may give Madison Square Garden added leverage as it negotiates a multi-year sports programming distribution package with Time Warner Cable.
"Until this mini spurt, the Knicks were one of the only things holding
With the Rangers off to the second best start in the National Hockey League and added Knicks interest, season ticket, memorabilia and food sales at the Garden may be headed higher. "The bigger picture story is the underappreciated story to the stock and ticket prices," adds Pyykkonen.
In March 2011, the Knicks boosted knicks season ticket prices on the heels of hype surrounding the signing of superstar players that put the struggling team on track for the playoffs. The ticket price rise may continue this March if Lin can generate star-like fan interest. Meanwhile, after a 23% 2011 boost, the best play by the Rangers since their 1994 Stanley Cup winning season makes hockey ticket prices ripe for a 2012 lift.
Lin, who was cut by the Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets before landing on the Knicks on Dec. 27, put up 28 points and 8 assists in his first NBA start against the Utah Jazz, numbers that hadn't been reached since Isaiah Thomas made a 1981 splash. As the first-year Knick has continued his stellar play, leading to a 5-game winning streak, Madison Square Garden shares have surged.
Time Warner Cable may be cursing the recent surge, called "Lin-sanity," that's made the Carmelo Anthony and Amar'e Stoudemire-less Knicks a must see national phenomenon. In a matter of days, Lin turned a missable Knicks season into a must see sports drama.