Cramer's 'Mad Money' Recap: Don't Fight the Fed
NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- Don't fight the Federal Reserve .
That was Jim Cramer's lesson for his "Mad Money" TV show viewers Monday. He told investors that sometimes the macroeconomic picture matters more than the results of individual stocks.
Cramer said today's market's rally was a classic lesson in the tug-of-war between the microeconomic "realists," who analyze the results of individual companies, versus the macroeconomic "impressionists," who look at the world in a more abstract manner.
Sometimes the realists are in charge, noted Cramer, but other times, like today, the abstract data such as industrial gains in China or a positive manufacturing number here at home are all that's needed for a healthy rally.
That's why Cramer said he learned a long time ago to never fight the Fed. If the central bank is working hard to spur manufacturing or strengthen the banks, eventually it will succeed, and the last place an investor wants to be is on the wrong side of that trade. The banks, oils, copper, aluminum and materials stocks are all on the Fed's radar, said Cramer, and those are the stocks that were lifted most by Monday's macro news.
There is no right or wrong when it comes to whether the micro or macro picture matters more over the long term, Cramer concluded, but at least for today the abstract macro picture was the one to which the markets paid more attention.
New Quarter, New Ideas
In football, quarterbacks are known to flow through a process known as the "check down," where they scan all of their receivers looking for the best opportunities to pass the ball.
Now that the third quarter is behind us, Cramer said he's doing his own check down to see where the best investing opportunities are.
Starting off in the Dow, Cramer said Home Depot (HD) , a stock he owns for his charitable trust, Action Alerts PLUS, was one of the best performers, up 14% last quarter, but that story is no longer new. Procter & Gamble (PG) was also up big last quarter, but that stock needs a pullback to be investable.
Over on the S&P 500 , Cramer said there are lots of hot stocks including Sprint Nextel (S) and Tesoro (TSO) , but those stocks also need big pullbacks to be investable. Monster Beverage (MNST) is intriguing, he said, but energy drinks are a tricky category.
That's why Cramer chose next to look for sectors that have been left behind, particularly the transports. He immediately said no to the airlines and the trucking companies after FedEx (FDX) gave such poor guidance, which left him with the rails, a sector that doesn't compete with itself, doesn't have European exposure and was been hit hard by falling coal demand.