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Trading Technology and Telecom Stocks

Tickers in this article: T VZ AAPL CSCO XLK
NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- I have been analyzing an array of sectors since July 30, when I wrote about taking profits in overvalued utility stocks . Today, I analyze the technology sector, not to recommend increasing or decreasing holdings in the sector, but to provide guidelines to use in "buy and trade" strategies.

The rotation into this sector was already underway before July 30, and five of the 10 stocks I profile today have become overbought, according to their daily charts.

The computer and technology sector is 4.5% overvalued, while the utility sector is 13.4% overvalued. I mention this because my benchmark for tech sector is the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) , which contains 79 equity components and several stocks that ValuEngine considers utility stocks.

In fact, two of XLK's top 10 equities by market weighting are considered utilities, AT&T(T) and Verizon Communications (VZ) .

The rotation into the XLK off a June 4 low has six of the 10 stocks I am profiling trying to trade back up to their year-to-date highs set between March 27 and May 3, which matches the pattern of the XLK.

>>Also See : Stocks in SOX: Sector Rotation Shifts to Chips

The daily chart of the XLF is overbought, as the ETF attempts to trade up to its April 3 high, which was its highest point since April 2001.

From its August 19, 2011 low at $22.47 to the April 3 high at $30.62, the XLK rose 36.3%. It has gained 136.6% since its November 2008 low of $12.94. My annual value level is $25.48 with an annual pivot at $29.93 and monthly and quarterly risky levels at $31.10 and $32.18.

Source: Thomson Reuters

The above table shows data from ValuEngine.com covering the top 10 of the 79 components of the XLV, listed by weighting from top to bottom.

Reading the Table

OV/UN Valued -- The stocks with a red number are undervalued by the percentage shown. Those with a black number are overvalued by that percentage, according to ValuEngine.

VE Rating -- A 1-Engine rating is a strong sell, a 2-Engine rating is a sell, a 3-Engine rating is a hold, a 4-Engine rating is a buy and a 5-Engine rating is a strong buy.

Last 12-Month Return (%) -- Stocks with a red number declined by that percentage over the last 12 months. Stocks with a black number increased by that percentage.

Forecast 1-Year Return -- Stocks with a red number are projected to decline by that percentage over the next 12 months. Stocks with a black number in the table are projected to move higher by that percentage over the next 12 months.

Value Level: The price at which to enter a GTC Limit Order to buy on weakness (W-Weekly, M-Monthly, Q-Quarterly, S-Semiannual and A- Annual).