BlackBerry's Gain, Apple's Drain: Tech Winners & Losers
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- BlackBerry
UBS analyst Amitabh Passi, who rates shares "neutral" with a $13 price target, raised his earnings estimates for the upcoming quarter, and now expects BlackBerry will earn 10 cents a share on $3.37 billion in revenue, up from break-even previously. He expects 3.7 million BlackBerry 10 smartphones to be shipped in the quarter, with 6.3 million smartphones shipped overall.
"With the channel having being drained quite aggressively over the past 8 quarters, we expect inventory to trend up this quarter and working capital to be a source of cash," Pass wrote in a note. "We also anticipate operating expenses to rise driven by more aggressive marketing and sales activities, though recognize this is a lever in management's control (management guided marketing expenses up 50% q/q)."
William Blair analyst Anil Doradla expects BlackBerry to ship 9 million smartphones this quarter, with at least 3.3 million of them being BlackBerry 10 devices. He expects BlackBerry to earn 13 cents a share on $3.55 billion in sales.
"We expect a two-quarter uptick in BlackBerry's hardware sales, based on the phased global launch and pent-up demand from a portion of BlackBerry's 75 million-plus subscribers," Doradla wrote in a note. "With Q10 in particular, we believe we are witnessing a BlackBerry 10 refresh cycle."
Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect BlackBerry to earn 6 cents a share on $3.36 billion for the upcoming quarter. BlackBerry will report earnings before the market opens on June 28.
Jefferies analyst Peter Misek lowered his price target to $405 on the Cupertino, Calif.-based tech giant, and lowered third- and fourth-quarter earnings estimates on higher-than-normal iPhone inventories. He now expects Apple to earn $7.02 a share on $36.6 billion in revenue in the calendar third quarter, and $10.58 a share in earnings on $48.3 billion in revenue during the fourth quarter.
"Our checks indicate broad-based iPhone build plan cuts, which followed our checks last week indicating retail/carrier smartphone inventory levels are at ~10 weeks (vs. typical 4-6)," Misek wrote in a note.