Buy Rated Retail-Wholesalers Headline Earnings
On April 9 I wrote, Rating the Three Consumer Sectors where I gave the retail-wholesale sector an overweight rating. Today I re-iterate this rating even though the sector is the most overvalued by 19.2%. The overall stock market begins the week under a ValuEngine valuation warning with 68.7% of all stocks overvalued. This is the highest such reading in 2013. We show that 228 stocks out of the 360 in the retail-wholesale sector are rated buy. With 63.3% of the sector rated buy the overweight rating remains justified.
Before I profile the eight stocks that I am focusing on this week, it's important to note that there has been another downgrade to sell among the homebuilders. Toll Brothers
Among the 10 home builders I profiled on April 30 in, Homebuilder Downgrades Cloud Earnings there have been six downgrades since then. Today there are two hold rated homebuilders and eight rated sell. The construction sector is rated underweight with 59.7% of all stocks in the sector rated sell.
The labor market is an important factor in consumer spending and initial jobless claims are declining under the recessionary threshold of 350,000. This positive is offset by a longer term set of statistics published yesterday in the Tampa Bay Times. The source of this data is the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.
The non-employment rate includes anyone not working: those unemployed plus those out of the labor force, like students, caring for relatives or too discouraged to look for work. In the year 2000 the non-employment rate in the US was 18.5% in sixth place behind Japan, France, Germany, Britain and Canada. In 2011 the U.S. topped the list with a non-employment rate of 26.6%.
This morning at 8:30 AM the Retail Sales data for April is released, and a decline of 0.4% is expected.