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Dicker: Natural Gas Is Going to $5

Tickers in this article: ECA EQT SWN UPL
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- I reiterated my call of $5 natural gas by the fourth quarter of this year when I spoke today with Jim Cramer. I believe the traders tried to get in a bit early to the natural gas cycle and were caught and that's why we've seen prices again moderate to under $4/mcf.

But I see that as an opportunity -- the fundamentals of natural gas cannot be denied forever and shut-ins and a dropping rig count for natural gas has pushed the storage numbers finally below the five-year average.

Further, the run of conference calls from the supermajors were uniform in that a $4 price for natural gas would not inspire them to ramp up their drilling for further supply. It will take many quarters of higher natural gas prices to encourage Big Oil to recommit to natural gas production.

That should translate to a higher price, and I have begun to accumulate a futures position in natural gas. But for investors, there are some heavily levered stocks that can work as well.

One of the most levered is Ultra Petroleum , and the chart for Ultra finally begins to look positive after being a disastrous stock to own for the last three years. Other ideas in natural gas I like include Encana and EQT Corp. .

I talk more about my $5 natural gas call with Jim in the video above.

At the time of publication the author had a position in UPL.

This article was written by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.