If Spirit's Fees Are So Bad, Why Is the Stock Up 91% This Year?
MIRAMAR, FLA. ( TheStreet) -- The first half of 2013 has been a good time for airline stocks, but it's been a great time for shares of Spirit
Spirit's stock has gained 91% through Wednesday to lead the sector, in which most big carriers show gains above 30%.
Spirit often makes news for the wrong reasons: Its high fees invite coverage from a sector of the media that seeks to attract eyeballs by displaying outrage. For instance, one recent TV story was titled "Five Outrageous Spirit Airlines Fees," while another was called "Spirit Airlines Criticized for Charging Customers 70 Different Fees."
Perhaps it's a benefit that Spirit shares come at an all-in, clearly defined price -- at Wednesday's close they were at $33.87.
Nearly every airline has a good story to tell this year, and not just because of the industry backdrop of rising demand, diminished capacity, rational growth and newly found fee revenue. Delta
As for Spirit, it keeps cost low, pushes the envelope of revenue sources and keeps growing profitably. The carrier plans to grow about 22% this year and 15% to 20% over the next several years.
Avondale Partners analyst Fred Lowrance has an "outperform" rating on the stock and a $37 price target. On Tuesday, he raised his second-quarter earnings estimate to 62 cents a share, in line with consensus from analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters. Spirit will report earnings next Wednesday.
"With its unbundled fare, ultra-low cost model, Spirit is able to profitably offer significantly lower fares than its competition could possibly match for any extended period of time," Lowrance wrote. "As such, Spirit stimulates demand, principally among leisure travelers who also tend to opt-in for multiple high margin ancillary product offerings.
" As an airline with a truly unique product, we believe the number of addressable markets and route pairs is much larger than Spirit's current network -- supporting profitable growth for many years to come."
Lowrance noted that Spirit trades at a 12% discount to Allegiant
However, Wolfe Research analyst Hunter Keay worries that shares may have peaked. "Spirit continues to execute well above peers, but sentiment is as bullish as it has ever been in our view," Keay wrote in a recent report. "We caution that Spirit has had slip-ups in the past, and the risk/reward of Spirit's current valuation makes it hard for us to justify an outperform rating at this point. We would become more interested on a pullback."