Tesla: 'Automotive Nirvana' (Update 1)
NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- Tesla Motors
Analyst James Albertine notes that Tesla is really making a name for itself not only in the electric car market, but the automotive market in general. "No other auto maker could (or would) have been able to capitalize on current political and consumer momentum for electric vehicles, in our view," Albertine wrote in the note. While the stock continued to climb based off positive sentiment, CEO Elon Musk's ability to create buzz, and incredible strong fundamentals, Albertine notes not all is rosy for Tesla. "Risks ahead are significant and we think under-appreciated. OEMs, parts suppliers and retailers all have TSLA locked in their sights. TSLA might have 1-2 years of order backlog to work through, but as of yet, little evidence of customer retention or conquest at lower price points."
The Model S has been a revolution to the electric car, as the company continues to sell more than it can make. In the second-quarter, Tesla delivered 5,150 units of the Model S, helping the company generate $405 million in revenue, earning 5 cents per share.
Not only is the Model S revolutionizing the electric car industry, it's revolutionizing safety as well. Earlier this week, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) awarded the Tesla Model S a 5-star safety rating in every subcategory, a rating that just 1% of all federally tested cars achieve. In a press release, Tesla noted that although the NHTSA it doesn't publish ratings above 5, the Model S managed to get a 5.4 rating in overall Vehicle Safety Score (VSS), a new record.
The NHTSA has since made a comment, further denouncing this claim on its website. "NHTSA does not rate vehicles beyond 5 stars and does not rank or order vehicles within the star rating categories. In addition, the agency has guidelines in place for manufacturers and advertising agencies to follow to ensure that accurate and consistent information is conveyed to the public," the government agency said.
However, much of the recent run up in the stock is attributed to short-squeezes, future production and momentum, as well as fundamental shift in the automotive industry. As such, Albertine believes the company's valuation "deserves a deeper, broader fundamental analysis." He notes, "Any investor, sell-sider or otherwise bystander focused on the Model S, X or Gen III is missing the bigger picture, in our view. Our long-term sensitivity analysis provides a mechanism to assess TSLA's earnings power beyond products, pricing or penetration, and perhaps provide a deeper dive on battery costs, regulatory credits, gross and operating margin potential."