Health Care ETFs With Big Obamacare Exposure
While it would be unlikely that the entire law be struck down, this would be the worst possible outcome for health care related stocks. Not only did these companies spend millions of dollars buying politicians, but they also have spent a bunch of money preparing to implement the law.
All of that money will have been wasted, massive uncertainty will return, and these companies will be faced with the obligatory opportunity to spend millions more for and against political candidates up for election this November. These companies would have to spend even more money to shape the next health care law as both sides have promised replacement legislation.
If the Conservatives write the alternate plan, coverage for kids up to age 26 under their parents' plans and protection from being excluded from the insurance market due to pre-existing conditions would be replaced with Federal-level lawsuit damage liability caps that have failed to restrain health care costs in the states that have implemented such caps.
Obi-Wan Kenobi said to Darth Vader, "If you strike me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine." Many Liberals want and many Conservatives fear that if Obamacare is struck down, it could be replaced with a single-payer Medicare-For-All plan that would devastate private health insurance companies.
The gulf of uncertainty between these two philosophies is not good for health care stocks and funds. Eventually, businesses will understand that the inherently unprofitable expense of health care would be better borne by government in order to increase U.S. companies' global competitiveness. But, that day is not yet here.
-- Opinions of Kevin Baker in Jupiter, Fla.
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