Drilling for Energy Stocks to Buy

Tickers in this article: APA APC HES MRO NBR NOV OXY TSO VLO

NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- Nymex crude oil peaked at $100.42 per barrel on Sept. 14, which was the day after the FOMC announced QE3. Oil subsequently declined 15.9% to $84.05, into Nov. 7. On Dec. 12, the FOMC announced QE4. Since then, oil has moved sideways to up.

Analysis of Nymex Crude Oil ($87.72): On Dec. 14, I wrote FOMC QE4 Foolishness Pushes Stocks to Cliff Edge. In this post I projected that crude oil had upside potential to its 200-day simple moving average at $92.62. A daily close above the 50-day SMA at $87.63 would enhance this upside potential. A close this week above the five-week modified moving average at $87.79 shifts the weekly chart profile to positive. The chart support is the 200-week SMA at $84.27.

Fundamentally, ValuEngine shows the oils-energy sector 5.2% undervalued, with the oil & gas exploration & production industry 10.0% undervalued; the oil & gas field services industry 2.0% undervalued; oil & gas international integrated industry 10.5% undervalued; the oil & gas drilling industry 3.6% undervalued; the oil & gas machinery & equipment industry 5.1% overvalued; and the oil refining and marketing industry 7.2% overvalued.

With the technicals improving for Nymex crude oil and with the oils-energy sector the most undervalued of the 16 sectors covered by ValuEngine, it's time for investors to increase allocations to this sector.

Back on Oct. 2, I wrote Will the Oils-Energy Sector Catch QE Fatigue?. Here are two stocks investors should consider adding to their investment portfolios:

Apache (APA) ($77.02 on Dec. 14 vs $86.41 on Oct. 2) is near its year-to-date low at $74.50, set on Nov. 16. The daily chart is positive, with the 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $80.43 and $87.41. The weekly chart shows oversold momentum and a weekly close this week above the five-week MMA at $78.73 would result in a positive weekly chart profile.

National Oilwell Varco (NOV) ($64.87 on Dec. 14 vs. $80.55 on Oct. 2) has declined about 25% since setting a multi-year high at $89.95 on Sept. 18. NOV has an oversold daily chart and an oversold weekly chart, with the five-week MMA at $69.72. My monthly value level is $64.63, with upside to the 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $72.98 and $73.83.

When drilling for energy stocks using www.ValuEngine.com I found 20 oils-energy stocks that have "Four-Engine" buy ratings.

Reading the Table

OV / UN Valued: The stocks with a red number are undervalued by this percentage. Those with a black number are overvalued by that percentage, according to ValuEngine.

Note that six of 20 stocks are overvalued, led by Marathon Oil (MRO) ($30.82), overvalued by 25.1%. Tesoro Corp (TSO) ($44.66), overvalued by 10.9%, set a multi-year high at $45.41 on Monday.