Worse Than Finding a Worm in Apple: Half a Worm
I wrote once, at Seeking Alpha, that the solution to Apple is simply to divide by 10, and it remains true. Apple was once $700, now it's $450. Split it 10-1, as I suggested, and you have a $70 stock going to $45.This happens all the time. It's part of the ebb and flow that makes the stock market so much fun. Sectors go into fashion, pass out of fashion, then return in predictable patterns. This is why technical analysis works.
Of course you don't need a class in stochastics to see the patterns. Right now entertainment stocks such as Disney (DIS) are hot, while 3-D printing companies including 3D Systems (DDD) are not. Cloud companies that produce services such as Google (GOOG) are hot, as our Chris Ciaccia notes, , while companies that produce products including Apple (and Dell (DELL) , Nokia (NOK) , Microsoft (MSFT) , HP (HPQ) , and on and on) are not.
These assumptions will change. They will reverse. We will all suddenly realize that we have always been at war with Eastasia, or have never been at war with Eastasia (for you fans of George Orwell's 1984.) I'm old enough to remember when the Los Angeles Clippers were a bad team and the Lakers a great one.