Forget About Fracking, the Gulf May Lead Oil Lower

Tickers in this article: BP COP CVX HAL UNG USO
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- My reputation as a bear and short-seller are well-deserved. This is especially true in my opinion of energy prices. During the last year, I have become even more bearish in the wake of so many recoverable oil discoveries.

As a result of the media focus on the Bakken Shale formation occupying the midwestern part of the United States, you may believe North Dakota is the center of the shale energy universe. It's true that North Dakota's energy production is growing at an amazing pace, despite its relatively harsh winters and distance from population centers.

North Dakota oil production expanded enough to make the state the second largest crude oil producer in the nation. North Dakota and the related oil boom may make for exciting news stories; however, Texas not only maintains its leading role in energy production, but may soon expand its lead in production.

The Street's energy expert, Dan Dicker, brilliantly reminds us that if you take your eyes off the gulf oil ball, you may miss out on superior opportunities that remain available. (Watch this video of TheStreet's Jim Cramer talking to Dicker about the extraordinary and new energy discoveries offshore.)


Dicker states that the headwinds suppressing the stock price of BP from the 2010 Deepwater Horizon explosion in the Gulf of Mexico is near the end and should soon pass. Dicker gives the names of other companies he especially likes including Haliburton , Chevron , and ConocoPhillips .

Aside from the obvious usual suspects, Dicker also names secondary plays for investors to consider. What Dicker doesn't cover is the impact on oil and natural gas prices as these new discoveries come on line. Increased production in the Gulf actually provides two decidedly different investment opportunities.

Dicker does a splendid job of explaining the play with oil recovery companies, but I want to focus on the commodity play. Investors no longer need to have a commodities account to gain exposure to commodities with the advent of energy exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

For commodity investors, the impact on US Oil Fund ETF and US Natural Gas Fund ETF is crystal clear to me. Because of the recent Gulf of Mexico discoveries, we can look forward to an acceleration of energy independence for United States and lower prices in USO and UNG.