How to Invest in Dividend Stocks
The clearest danger to a dividend is a lack of cash flow. When a company has weak cash flow, the dividend is among the first costs to be cut -- because this at least allows the company to appear to be bolstering that key metric. But a dividend stock that stops paying its dividend is of little value to anyone's portfolio.
How do you find a "safe" dividend? Look for companies whose operating earnings and cash flow can cover their annual payments at least two times over. It is possible, in the near term, to raise capital through debt or equity offerings to prop up dividends. However, most companies would not sustain this practice for more than a quarter or two.
It also helps to take a look at a company's dividend history. While it's never possible to predict the future from the past, some companies have exhibited a tendency to raise their payouts annually. It's also wise to seek out yields that are trending toward the higher end of historical ranges.
However, the analysis tools you need to employ on dividend stocks are not entirely earnings-centric. A lot of the same fundamental homework that goes into picking growth stocks will still apply here, but you need to add a layer of fixed-income-like analysis.
Dividend-focused investors are less interested in each individual trade and more concerned about whether a negative or positive earnings outlook would cause a firm to change its payout policy. The time frame is also longer than that of many retail investors, who generally consider a long-term position to be anything that's held for more than a couple of weeks. For any of the stocks in a dividend portfolio, the minimum holding period should be one year.
Of course, dividend or no, investors want to avoid any company whose stock might fall to $30 from $50. But if the same stock fell to $45 without a change in the fundamentals, that wouldn't be so worrisome in the near term -- because the losses would be cushioned by the dividend.
Facts About Dividends
Here's a quick lesson on basic dividend concepts, as well as some terms for new investors, or for those who would like a refresher.