Google Could 'MySpace' Facebook
Facebook estimates that it will generate approximately $6.4 billion from its offering -- essentially reaching a market cap as high $110 billion. As remarkable as this accomplishment may be, it looks grossly perverse when one considers that upon its IPO it will immediately surpass the value of technology bellwethers in Cisco(CSCO) and Amazon(AMZN) -- two companies with proven effective businesses that generate plenty of money.
What has Facebook proven other than the fact that it is "liked" by a lot of people? Though this might sound a bit negative, please understand, I'm extremely long on prosperity; I'm just short on too much hype. And I think at this point "hype" is a gross understatement.
As popular as Facebook is, it is still looking up to Google(GOOG) in the rankings among the most widely visited website in the world -- this according to alexa.com. While Facebook comes in a close second to Google, I am beginning to wonder what else does this second imply when one considers that it also lags Google in several other categories -- specifically in terms of business fundamentals. From that standpoint, investors need to ask, does Facebook really have a business? How much is social networking worth since it cannot be counted upon as a quantifiable metric?