Jim Cramer: The Best Time to Fly
Editor's note (Part 4 of 7): The following is text from Jim Cramer's keynote speech at The Deal Economy Event on Dec. 5 at the New York Stock Exchange, New York City. To watch video replays of the event, click here .
NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- What's the fourth theme? The bounty that comes from a very weak U.S. Dept. of Justice Division that seems to bless deals that would be vetoed out of hand by any Republican administration. The biggest beneficiary? The airlines.
The combinations that have been allowed in the airline industry have, for the first time, let these companies earn their cost of capital and THEN SOME. It is the single best time ever to be in the airline business because of a dramatic decline in competition and I can't emphasize enough that you need to invest in this area that I have formerly found to be totally uninvestable.
I had favored Delta
Previously, when we have had these combinations, they ultimately ended badly for shareholders because discounters came in to compete and ruin the margins. But this time there are many things working against the potential discount entries. First, they need new planes and the lines for planes from Boeing
Normally, startups would simply purchase old planes and get things up and running instantly. But the old planes now use too much fuel and fuel can equal 50% of the costs of operating the airline, which is just too prohibitive to compete with the majors, which are outfitted with the latest and least-jet-fuel-consuming aircraft.
There is one formidable discounter out there, Spirit Air