Top Technical Trades: SPX, Dollar, Nat Gas
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S&P 500 / Broad Stock MarketWe have seen a big run-up in stocks this month and things are looking a little long in the teeth. A large number of stocks are trading above their upper Bollinger bands and the broad market is testing that key resistance level also. Typically when a Bollinger band is reached, we see price reverse for a couple days, at minimum.
While the equities market is in a new uptrend, as seen by the moving averages, a pullback seems imminient. The last two days have formed reversal candles and are pointing to lower prices.
Dollar Index Hourly ChartThis chart shows a possible bottom forming in the dollar pointing to a three- to eight-day pullback in stocks.
Gold Futures Hourly Chart
Natural Gas Hourly Chart
Trading ConclusionLooking at the charts on several different time frames, not all shown here, technical analysis shows a pullback in stocks is highly likely. This is what we are currently positioned for.
The U.S. dollars downward momentum is slowing and if it can find a bid today, it should trigger strong selling in both stocks and commodities. Gold and silver are down sharply along with miners.