5 Stocks to Safely Make Money in Emerging Markets
The investment bank's rationale for the reduction in exposure includes the fact that the MSCI Emerging Market Index (MXEF) reached a new high earlier this week, valuations have expanded and fund inflows have led to an overbought position in emerging markets.
Ron Weiner, president and CEO of RDM Financial Group, would argue that investing in emerging markets is simply investing where the growth is. He argues that emerging markets are still growing anywhere from 6% to 9%, widely outpacing the U.S. and Europe. RDM financial's investment policy is built upon capitalizing on that emerging market growth.
Morgan Stanley says an easing cycle in Asian emerging markets has been priced in. China helped support this theory over the past weekend by instituting another reduction in the reserve requirement ratio for banks in the region to 20.5% from 21% previously. This was a bit of a surprise, especially as the country reported an increase in inflation just a few weeks earlier.
And yesterday, an indicator of China's industrial production was released -- the HSBC flash purchasing managers index increased to 49.7 in February from 48.8 in January, but still remained below 50 for the eighth consecutive month. A PMI reading below 50 means the sector is contracting. Expansion would be determined by a reading above 50.
The global recession has led to moderate growth in emerging markets, but internal policy is expected to be geared toward maintaining growth as best as countries can.
Weiner points out a few ways to invest in emerging markets safely. First he recommends investing in American companies that serve the emerging markets. Examples he gives include Caterpillar(CAT) , Cummins(CMI) , McDonald's(MCD) and Apple(AAPL) .
Second, he recommends investing in emerging market dividend funds. While the rules for issuing dividends differs overseas, the dividends can help to mitigate the volatility that is typically associated with investments in emerging market stocks.
The third conservative investing option is buying ETFs comprising companies that serve the emerging markets. His recommendation is the Market Vectors Agribusiness ETF (MOO) . The ETF invests in agricultural businesses and ties in well with the fact that 40% of discretionary spending in emerging markets is spent on food. As the population grows, this ETF should benefit.
Morgan Stanley remains overweight in emerging markets but is taking some money off the table in light of the appreciation that has been seen in the MSCI EM Index. After increasing 28% from the October low, the index leaves room for appreciation of only 13% to the 1,210 price target the broker holds.