Two Dow Stocks for Growth and Safety in 2013
One such name on my radar screen is Boeing (BA) . At $76, the stock is up just 4% on the year, which is less than half the return of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. That said, the company is in the midst of a multiyear commercial aerospace upgrade cycle and is expected to post accelerating earnings growth over each of the next three years.
Meanwhile, Boeing offers a 2.6% dividend yield at current levels. Even though this isn't the highest yield in the Dow, I believe the company has the capacity to raise its payout more than its index peers over the next several quarters. Boeing just boosted its payout on Dec. 17 to $0.485 a share. Investors at the close of trading on Feb. 12 (the must-own date) will qualify for the next dividend on March 8. The payment can be covered 2.7x with expected 2013 earnings of $5.22.
In addition to the dividend, management pledged to repurchase $1.5 billion to $2 billion (19.7 million to 26.3 million shares) of its stock in 2013. Given the company's A-rated balance sheet and steady cash flow generation, I also believe the quarterly dividend will be raised to $0.55 a share within the next year.
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is another laggard of 2012 that I believe will fare relatively better in the new year. The stock has lagged the Dow by 100 basis points year to date, though the company offers a 3.5% dividend yield after raising its payout to $0.61 a share in April.
Johnson & Johnson has boosted its dividend for 50 consecutive years and I expect management will announce another increase in April 2013. In the meantime, the company's payment is twice as much as the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note. Johnson & Johnson has a pristine balance sheet and management can cover the dividend 2.3x with expected 2013 earnings of $5.49 a share.
The key to dividend investing is finding companies with consistent growth. I believe that both Boeing and Johnson & Johnson can deliver 10% or more total returns in 2013, with less risk than the average large-cap stock.