JPMorgan Remains a Strong Buy
For this reason (among others) I never believed JPMorgan Chase
The results of this quarter notwithstanding, JPMorgan still has a strong business in investment banking, mortgages and retail banking. If the bank can continue to produce solid return on equity in the low-to-mid single-digits coupled with a discount rate of 9.5%, fair value on the stock can reach $55. Plus, given the potential for share buybacks over the next several quarters, along with an improving balance sheet, investors can still get a 20% premium just by being patient.
I won't disagree that the now-infamous London Whale trade has knocked some shine off JPMorgan's armor. But in these situations Wall Street has always had a very short memory as long as companies apologize with higher revenue and profits. With the stock up 27% for the year to date and trading at around $55 per share, it's safe to say that all is forgiven.
With the bank now producing fee income growth of more than 30%, there's no question that when compared to Bank of America
What's more, there are very few banks that can match JPMorgan's performance in terms of profitability and credit quality. I'm not suggesting the bank has fully recovered from recent operational deficits. But the recent 13% revenue growth and the better-than-expected performance from its trading business suggest that some of the bigger problems are now in the rear-view mirror.
What's more, I don't believe it makes sense to continue discounting JPMorgan's improvements in investment banking. Here again, while there still remains the risks from that side of the business, I can still appreciate that the bank is nonetheless making progress in other areas while it core business fully recovers.
The fact that overall lending has been weak across the entire sector is where JPMorgan's well-diversified operation becomes an asset. Other businesses are picking up the slack while loan growth slowly improves. In that regard, let's not pretend poor loan growth is just a JPMorgan-specific issue. That's not the case at all. Sluggish loan growth has also impacted upon other well-managed banks such as Wells Fargo