Stocks Gain as Caterpillar Forecasts China Growth
NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- U.S. stocks rose Monday after Caterpillar
"Since we have had that modest downward guidance through the last part of last year and into the first part of this year, I think that's helped investors feel more comfortable that if we do have a correction, it's going to be fairly shallow," said Paul Mangus, head of equity research and strategy at Wells Fargo Private Bank.
Caterpillar added 2.8% to $82.71 as the world's largest maker of construction and mining equipment said it expects increased orders from China in the second-quarter despite lowering its full-year profit outlook to $7 per share on revenue of $57 billion to $61 billion.
"People have pretty much come to the realization that Caterpillar is cheap with its single-digit p/e and modest yield," Chris Bertelsen, chief investment officer of Global Financial Private Capital in Sarasota, Florida, said in a phone interview. "It's probably cyclically close to a bottom and you're probably seeing the lowest level this quarter and next quarter that you're going see for a while."
Cyclical stocks such as Caterpillar will turn higher after this quarter of stabilization as China maintains a relatively impressive growth rate, Bertelsen said. Caterpillar trades at 11.1 times earnings, according to Google News, a discount to the S&P 500 Industrial Sector Index, which trades at 14.7 times earnings.
"When you see growth in Asia it's been pretty robust," said Bertelsen. "I'm seeing things all together which should lead to a better economy worldwide particularly in the third and fourth quarters. Bertelsen prefers "rust-belt" technology stocks like Intel
Existing-home sales in March unexpectedly fell Monday to 4.92 million annual units from 4.95 million in February, according to the National Association of Realtors. Economists in a Thomson Reuters poll predicted a rise to 5.01 million annualized units.
"Overall, the disappointing pace of home sales provides some evidence that positive momentum in the housing sector is beginning to leak lower," noted Millan Mulraine, U.S. director of research and strategy at TD Securities in New York.
Microsoft, the world's largest software maker, surged 3.6% to $30.83 after Jeff Ubben revealed that his activist hedge fund ValueAct Capital has built up about a $2 billion stake in the software behemoth.